Friday, September 12, 2008

Yes, I'm picking the Rams.

Just to prove that you can't put much stock in what happens during Week 1 of the NFL season, I'm picking the St. Louis Rams to beat the New York Giants on Sunday.

It's nothing against the Giants, I think they're a very fine team that will end up in the playoffs. And it's not an endorsement of the Rams who, well, have some problems. The pick is simply a reflection of the parity that exists in the NFL circa 2008. The Rams arguably looked worse than any other team in the league last week (Bengals fans might object to that one), and the Giants, who kept the Redskins at arm's length through four quarters, arrive in St. Louis riding a 10-game road winning streak.

But I've found that one of the worst things you can try to do in picking winners in the NFL is to apply logic to your decision. Also, there are certain to be around a dozen 1-1 teams after Week 2, just as there were last year, which means a bunch of clubs are going to look either much better or much worse than they did last week.

Thus, Rams 23, Giants 20. By the same logic, I have the Bengals beating the Titans and the Browns beating the Steelers this week.

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